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Keeping Score, September and 3Q 2024

I’ve just updated my Keeping Score page.

Clear sailing so far this year. The obvious cloud on the horizon is the possibility of a Trump administration, whose economic agenda reads to me like a repeat of the moves that created the Great Depression of the 1930s. No sign I can see that the market has even begun to discount this possibility. A decline in the dollar or a spike in cryptocurrency (another form of capital flight) could easily be the first signs.

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